RT Journal Article
T1 System dynamics modeling for renewable energy  and CO2 emissions : a case study of Ecuador
A1 Robalino López, Andrés
A1 Mena Nieto, Ángel Isidro
A1 García Ramos, José Enrique
AB It is clear that renewable energy plays a crucial role in achieving a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.  This paper presents a model approach of CO$_2$ emissions in Ecuador in the upcoming years, up to 2020. The main goal of this work is to study in detail the way the changes in the energy  matrix and in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will affect the CO$_2$ emissions of the country. In particular, we will pay special attention to the effect of a reduction of the share of fossil energy, as well as of an improvement in the efficiency of the fossil energy use. We have developed a system dynamics model based on a  relationship, which is a variation of the Kaya identity, and on a  GDP that depends on renewable energy, which introduces a feedback mechanism in the model. The main conclusion is that it is possible to control the CO$_2$ emissions even under a scenario of continuous increase of the GDP, if it is combinedwith an increase of the use of renewable energy, with an improvement of the productive sectoral structure and with the use of a  more efficient fossil fuel technology. This study offers useful lessons for developing countries, and it could be used as a policy-making tool because  it is easily transferable to any other time period or region.
PB Elsevier
SN 0973-0826
YR 2014
FD 2014
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10272/7743
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10272/7743
LA eng
NO Robalino López, A., Mena Nieto, A.I., Garcia Ramos, J.E.: "System dynamics modeling for renewable energy  and CO2 emissions : a case study of Ecuador". Energy for Sustainable Development. Vol. 20, págs. 11–20. DOI: 0.1016/j.esd.2014.02.001
NO MINECO, Junta de Andalucía, FEDER, SENESCYT (Ecuador), AUIP (Spain)
DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva
RD 30 may 2026