RT Unpublished Material
T1 System dynamics modelling and the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Ecuador (1980-2025)
A1 Robalino López, Andrés
A1 García Ramos, José Enrique
A1 Golpe Moya, Antonio Aníbal
A1 Mena Nieto, Ángel Isidro
AB Is it possible for a country in the process of development to comply with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in the medium term? This is question that inspired this study. This paper is an extension of a previous study focused on economic development and CO2 emissions in the coming years in Ecuador (Robalino-L´pez et al., 2013). The main goal of this paper is to analyze whether the EKC hypothesis holds within the period 1980-2025 under four different scenarios. This paper uses co-integration techniques (Stock and Watson, 1993) to test the existence of the EKC hypothesis in Ecuador in the medium term using the Jaunky's specification (Jaunky, 2011). Our proposal goes a step further than previous contributions, and intends to see under which conditions a country could approach the fulfilment of this hypothesis in the medium term. Results do not support the fulfilment of the EKC, nevertheless, our estimations show that Ecuador could be on the way to achieving environmental stabilization in the near future if economic growth is combined with an increase in the use of renewable energies, an improvement of the productive sectoral structure, and the use of a more efficient fossil fuel technology.
PB Elsevier
SN 0301-4215
YR 2014
FD 2014
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10272/7486
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10272/7486
LA eng
NO Robalino López, A., García Ramos, J.E., Golpe Moya, A.A., Mena Nieto, A.I.: "System dynamics modelling and the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Ecuador (1980-2025)". Energy Policy. Vol. 67, págs. 923–931, (2014). DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.003
NO This work has been supported by the Spanish Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad and the European regional development fund (FEDER) under project number FIS2011-28738-C02-02, and by Spanish Consolider-Ingenio 2010 (CPANCSD-2007-00042). One of the authors (A.R.L.) gives special thanks to the SENESCYT (Ecuador) and the AUIP (Spain) for the institutional and financial support.
DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva
RD 31 may 2026