RT Journal Article
T1 Economic development and logistics performance : a probabilistic approach
T1 Desarrollo económico y desempeño logístico : un enfoque probabilístico
A1 Sánchez, Ricardo J.
A1 Cipoletta Tomassián, Georgina
A1 Perrotti, Daniel E.
AB There is not a consensus about a complete set of explanatory variables that couldultimately explain the linkages behind achieving economic development. In spite ofthis, determinants of economic development and especially the linkages betweeneconomic development and logistics performance are topics of growing interest withinthe recent literature, both in economic growth theory and maritime studies.In this paper our attention is focused on the importance of logistics performanceas one of the explanatory variables for economic development. To this end, we haveestimated different econometric models in an attempt to explain the probability of acountry being economically developed, based on a number of traditional explanatoryvariables (including natural endowments, economic openness, and institutionalframework, among others) along with logistics performance as the major theoreticalinnovation. The applied methodology follows the binary choice framework describedin probit models.In the next step the research is concentrated on the determination of possibleendogenous causalities of the economic development. In the last section we estimatethe logistics gap, measured as a probability of reaching economic development thatvaries due to differences in the levels of logistics performance.Our main finding shows that logistics performance is closely related to the probabilityof a country being developed. Specifically, the probability of being a developedcountry increases when logistics performance is improved.
AB En la literatura económica, no existe un pleno consenso acerca del conjuntode variables explicativas que inciden sobre el desarrollo económico. Por otraparte, la vinculación entre el crecimiento y desarrollo económico y el desempeñologístico son tópicos de creciente interés en la literatura especializada.En este documento prestamos especial atención al papel del desempeñologístico como una de las variables explicativas del desarrollo económico. Paraeste fin, hemos estimado diferentes modelos econométricos que buscan explicarcómo se afecta la probabilidad de un país de ser desarrollado al consideraralgunas variables explicativas tradicionales (la dotación de recursos naturales,la apertura económica, y variables institucionales, entre otras), junto con eldesempeño logístico. La metodología aplicada se basó en la utilización de modelosprobit.El principal hallazgo del trabajo ha sido el de encontrar una incidencia positivaentre el desempeño logístico y la probabilidad de un país de ser desarrollado.Particularmente, la probabilidad de un país de ser desarrollado seincrementa cuando mejora el desempeño logístico.
PB Universidad de Huelva
YR 2014
FD 2014
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10272/9875
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10272/9875
LA eng
DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva
RD 30 may 2026