RT Journal Article T1 Estimación del terremoto máximo posible y su intervalo de recurrencia en la Falla de Carrascoy (Murcia) para su implementación en el cálculo de la peligrosidad sísmica de la región T1 Estimation of the maximum posible earthquake and recurrence interval on the Carrascoy Fault (Murcia) for seismichazard calculations in the region A1 García Mayordomo, Julián A1 Álvarez Gómez, J. A. AB Seismogenic source characterization in seismic hazard analysis of moderate activity areas is usually solelybased on the seismogenic zone concept and the available historical records. However, the location offuture big earthquakes (M>6) is always associated to major faults. In this work a methodological approachto estimate maximum earthquakes and mean recurrence intervals in faults where detailed paleoseismicitystudies lack is presented. An example case (Carrascoy Fault) extracted from an extended work whichcomprises all the major faults in SE Spain is shown. The Carrascoy Fault is 32 km long and shows evidenceof activity at least Upper Pleistocene. Slip rate is estimated in 0.54 m/ka. Seismicity distributes along thefault and surrounding areas. However, seismotectonic relations cannot be precisely stated due to the poorquality locations and the lack of seismic series. Considering the surface lenght of the fault a magnitude 6.8maximum earthquake is estimated. According to the slip rate of the fault and making use of threeindependent methods the recurrence period of such an earthquake is estimated to range from 6,000 to10,000 years PB Sociedad Geológica de España YR 2005 FD 2005 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10272/8657 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10272/8657 LA spa DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Huelva RD 30 may 2026