CO2 emissions and economic development: at the border of physics, economy and sustainability

Abstract

In this talk I will dive into the relationship between economy and CO2 emissions, i.e., the Kaya identity, then I will explain how to extract the contribution from the different "driving forces" using the so called Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI). Finally, I will present the Granger causality analysis and a procedure to perform the forecast of CO2 emissions designing an economic scenario. I will try to connect all the different concepts with possible physics applications.